Innovative monitoring in paediatrics in low-resource settings: an aid to save lives?

ISRCTN ISRCTN71392921
DOI https://doi.org/10.1186/ISRCTN71392921
Secondary identifying numbers RIA2020I-3294
Submission date
29/03/2022
Registration date
25/04/2022
Last edited
09/04/2025
Recruitment status
No longer recruiting
Overall study status
Completed
Condition category
Signs and Symptoms
Prospectively registered
Protocol
Statistical analysis plan
Results
Individual participant data

Plain English Summary

Background and study aims
The number of children dying in African hospitals remains too high. A large part may be prevented if children can be observed more closely allowing timely life-saving treatments. Continuous monitoring of vital signs such as heart rate and oxygen saturation is applied for this reason in high-income countries but these techniques have not been adapted for low resource settings. New techniques allow not only to detect but also to predict deterioration, these include new vital signs sensors, bedside blood tests (biomarkers), and artificial intelligence/machine learning.

The study aims to a) develop algorithms using vital signs to predict deterioration (critical illness) by applying a vital signs monitor system (IMPALA) developed for use in African hospitals, and b) test if biomarkers can help to predict critical illness alongside vital signs.
The overall aim of the entire IMPALA project is to adjust a monitoring system for use in children in a low-resource setting by making it affordable, user-friendly, robust, and integrating a validated algorithm to detect critical illness allowing early detection and treatment. The primary aim is to reduce amendable in-hospital deaths in children living in low-resource settings.

Who can participate?
Children aged 28 days to 60 months that will be admitted to the high dependency wards

What does the study involve?
This clinical observational study will gather the data required to develop the predictive algorithms that will be incorporated into the IMPALA system. These data will consist of vital signs (e.g. blood pressure, heart rate, and respiratory rate) of 1,000 children admitted to the high dependency unit of two hospitals in Malawi (Queen Elizabeth Central Hospital and Zomba Central Hospital). In addition, small blood samples will be collected for bedside detection of biomarkers (RNA or protein) that may predict critical illness and sociodemographic data of the patients will be collected. These data and/or data on the biomarker will optionally be used to strengthen the predictive power of the predictive algorithms.

What are the possible benefits and risks of participating?
Potential benefits:
If an abnormality in routine vital signs is noted while the participant is being observed for the study, a doctor or clinical officer will be informed and the participant will be assisted accordingly.
Participant conditions will be measured all the time, and if any problem is detected early, early treatment will be administered.
Potential risks:
There are no potential risks associated with the monitoring system based on previous experience in the Netherlands and Malawi
The child might find the monitoring discomforting
The blood and nasals mucus will be taken using routine care approaches and will carry the usual risks associated with these techniques

Where is the study run from?
Kamuzu University of Health Sciences (KUHeS) (Malawi)

When is the study starting and how long is it expected to run for?
March 2022 to July 2023

Who is funding the study?
European & Developing Countries Clinical Trials Partnership (Netherlands)

Who is the main contact?
William Nkhono, wnkhono@kuhes.ac.mw

Study website

Contact information

Dr Job Calis
Principal Investigator

Amsterdam Center Global Child Health - AIGHD
Amsterdam University Medical Centers (NL)
Amsterdam
Private bag 360
Netherlands

ORCiD logoORCID ID 0000-0001-6522-1347
Phone +31 616154964
Email job.calis@gmail.com
Dr Jenala Njirammadzi
Principal Investigator

Kamuzu University of Health Sciences (KUHeS)
Blantyre
Private bag 360
Malawi

Phone +265 (0)999282885
Email Jnjirammadzi@kuhes.ac.mw
Dr Josephine Langton
Scientific

Department of Paediatrics and Child Health
KUHeS
Blantyre
PBag 360
Malawi

Phone +265-9-93630543
Email joelangton@doctors.org.uk
Dr James Makina
Scientific

Department of Paediatrics and Child health - MOH
Blantyre
-
Malawi

Phone +265 (0)881068899
Email jhmakina01@hotmail.com
Dr Jessica Chikwana
Scientific

Department of Paediatrics and Child Health - MoH & Zomba Central Hospital
Zomba
-
Malawi

Phone +265 (0)999303951
Email jesschikwana22@gmail.com
Dr Glory Mzembe
Scientific

Training and Research Unit of Excellence (TRUE)
Zomba
-
Malawi

Phone +265 (0)997373789
Email gmzembe@cartafrica.org
Mrs Jacquline Msefula
Scientific

Kamuzu University of Health Sciences (KUHeS)
Blantyre
-
Malawi

Phone +265 (0)998110962
Email Jmsefula@kuhes.ac.mw
Prof Michael Levin
Scientific

Imperial College London
London
-
United Kingdom

Phone +44 7967700750
Email m.levin@imperial.ac.uk
Mr William Nkhono
Scientific

Kamuzu University of Health Sciences (KUHeS)
Blantyre
-
Malawi

Phone +265 (0)993204898
Email wnkhono@kuhes.ac.mw
Prof Mark Hoogendoorn
Scientific

Amsterdam Institute for Global Health & Development
Vrije University of Amsterdam
Amsterdam
1081 HV
Netherlands

Phone +31 (0)205987772
Email m.hoogendoorn@vu.nl
Dr Maria José Villalobos Quesada
Scientific

Senior scientist - bioinformatics, networks and bioethics
National eHealth Living Lab – Leiden University Medical Center
Leiden
-
Netherlands

Phone +31 (0)642697065
Email M.J.Villalobos_Quesada@lumc.nl
Dr Alick Vweza
Scientific

Biomedical engineer
Malawi University of Business and Applied Sciences (MUBAS)
Blantyre
-
Malawi

Phone +265 (0)991199899
Email avweza@mubas.ac.mw
Mr Bart Bierling
Scientific

Biomedical engineer and founder of the social enterprise GOAL3
Amsterdam
-
Netherlands

Phone +31 (0)640687620 / +265 (0)997867890
Email bart.bierling@goal3.org

Study information

Study designObservational cross sectional
Primary study designObservational
Secondary study designCross sectional study
Study setting(s)Hospital
Study typeDiagnostic
Participant information sheet 41448 PIS v1.0 01Feb2022.pdf
Scientific titleInnovative Monitoring in Paediatrics in Low-resource settings: In search of machine learning algorithms using vital signs and biomarkers
Study acronymIMPALA
Study hypothesisTo predict critical illness in Malawian children using vital signs monitoring and applying machine learning to detect, train and test a predictive algorithm.
Ethics approval(s)Approved 19/05/2022, College of Medicine Research & Ethics Committee (COMREC) (Kamuzu University of Health Sciences, Private Bag 360, Chichiri, Blantyre 3, Malawi; +2651874377; comrec@medcol.mw), ref: P.02/22/3575
ConditionEarly detection and prevention of critical illness in children in high dependence unit (HDU) in Malawian hospitals
InterventionThis is a clinical observational study aimed at the identification of predictors of critical illness in children using vital signs, clinical information, and point-of-care (POC) biomarkers at Queen Elizabeth Central Hospital (QECH) and Zomba Central Hospital (ZCH)

Participants will be connected to a vital signs monitoring device/sensors(sticker and the clip) upon giving informed consent and admission to the high dependency unit (HDU). The vital signs will be monitored at regular intervals throughout the patient’s admission duration. The instruments are non-invasive and will remain outside of the body and will not cause any pain to the participant. The monitor will be used until the participant gets better and can move to a normal hospital ward or when the participant does not require constant monitoring anymore. The clinical team will decide if the patient does not require monitoring.

In addition to the continuous monitoring, nurses will gather routine 6 daily vital signs including temperature, Blantyre Coma Score, capillary refill time, pulses, limb temperature and pallor as well as clinical observations. A daily weight will be taken. As most of these data are routinely collected for clinical purposes we will enter these on the e-CRF and the hospital charts to minimise the impact on the patients.

Study samples will be collected on study enrolment after informed consent. A repeat sample will be collected in children with the critical illness event sepsis. On enrolment (admission to the high dependency area) we will collect:
1. 1-2 ml for blood culture and malaria microscopy (if not yet collected in the prior 24 hrs)
2. 1-2 ml venous blood sample in an EDTA tube for biomarker testing and storage
3. A nasal swab for detection of respiratory viruses using PCR
4. 2-10 ml urine using a urine collection bag for dipstick testing and storage

If during the study the clinical team decides to collect a new blood culture and/or start or change antibiotics, the study nurse will ask the clinical team to draw an additional 2 ml for:
1. 1-2 ml venous blood sample in an EDTA tube for biomarker testing and storage
2. Malaria microscopy (if not yet ordered by the clinical team)

The study nurse will further collect a new nasal swab for detection of respiratory viruses using PCR and 2-10 ml urine using a urine collection bag for dipstick testing and storage. Children will not be pricked extra for these samples. All the above samples will only be collected if we can combine collection sampling with that of the clinical team. We do not expect to follow up with any of the participants after they have been discharged from the hospital.
Intervention typeOther
Primary outcome measureCritical Illness events are measured every 4 hours by the clinical hospital nurse:
1. Respiratory - Start or increase respiratory support: oxygen or CPAP, (Non)Invasive ventilation: bag & mask ventilation or intubation, start or increase of bronchodilator support
2. Circulatory - Transfusion of blood (products), Intravenous fluid bolus of 10ml/kg or more, start or increase of continuous/intermittent inotropic support (IV/IM adrenalin), cardio-pulmonary resuscitation (CPR): resuscitation setting involving chest compressions
3. Neurological - Decrease in Blantyre Coma Score of 1 point or more, Convulsions requiring anticonvulsants
4. Other
4.1. Sepsis: clinical suspicion of sepsis that has led to the collection of new blood culture and/or starts or change in antibiotic treatment
4.2. Start anti-malarial treatment
4.3. Objectified hypoglycaemia requiring correction (IV or enteral)
4.4. Unplanned admission to the (P)ICU
4.5. Unplanned surgical procedure (including chest drains)
4.6. Death
Secondary outcome measures1. To assess the contribution of adding sociodemographic data to the predictive power of the algorithms.
2. To assess the potential added role of a predefined set of biomarkers in a predictive algorithm to detect critical illness. These markers will be including POC testing of two RNA transcription markers (FAM89A and IFI44L), C-Reactive protein and further analysis including previously described markers.
3. Design separate predictive models for critical illness in a better-resourced centre (Blantyre) as compared to a less-resourced centre (Zomba) which may more closely resemble most sub-Saharan hospital settings and assess the accuracy of these models.
4. Design separate predictive models for critical illness in infants (aged between 28 days and 12 months) and older children (12 to 60 months) and assess the accuracy of these models.
5. Make predictive models using conventional statistical approaches to compare the accuracy (sensitivity, specificity, false-positive and negative ratios, and area under the curve) of our model(s) against models published in the literature or identified in a retrospective dataset.
Overall study start date30/03/2022
Overall study end date31/07/2023

Eligibility

Participant type(s)Patient
Age groupChild
Lower age limit28 Days
Upper age limit60 Months
SexBoth
Target number of participants1000
Total final enrolment793
Participant inclusion criteriaChildren aged 28 days – 60 months that will be admitted to the high dependency bays
Participant exclusion criteria1. Children outside the age range
2. Children not admitted to the high dependency bays/ward
3. Children in which monitoring is technically not possible
4. No informed consent was given on admission
Recruitment start date01/07/2022
Recruitment end date30/06/2023

Locations

Countries of recruitment

  • Malawi

Study participating centres

Kamuzu University of Health Sciences (KUHeS)
Private Bag 360
Blantyre
-
Malawi
Training Research Unit of Excellence
1 Kufa Road
Mandala
Blantyre
-
Malawi

Sponsor information

Stichting Amsterdam Institute for Global Health and Development (AIGHD)
University/education

AHTC, Tower C4
Paasheuvelweg 25
Amsterdam
1105 BP
Netherlands

Phone +31 20 210 3960
Email n.berbers@aighd.org
Website https://www.aighd.org/

Funders

Funder type

Government

European and Developing Countries Clinical Trials Partnership
Private sector organisation / International organizations
Alternative name(s)
Le partenariat Europe-Pays en développement pour les essais cliniques, A Parceria entre a Europa e os Países em Desenvolvimento para a Realização de Ensaios Clínicos, The European & Developing Countries Clinical Trials Partnership, European and Developing Countries Clinical Trials, EDCTP
Location
Netherlands

Results and Publications

Intention to publish date01/06/2025
Individual participant data (IPD) Intention to shareYes
IPD sharing plan summaryStored in publicly available repository, Stored in non-publicly available repository, Available on request
Publication and dissemination planThe project will be part of three PhD programmes and its results will be shared through open-access peer-reviewed publications. Additionally, specific study results will be disseminated at the KUHeS Research Dissemination Conference and to particular interest groups, both in meetings, workshops and conferences, nationally and internationally. All publications will be shared with KUHES REC. Additionally, the IMPALA consortium will disseminate the findings through its website (and consortium partners' websites) and social media channels.
IPD sharing planClinical data generated during this study is considered highly sensitive data. Sharing data within the consortium activities will be carried out according to the consortium agreement, which will consider the conditions established by the GDPR. If considered necessary, a DTA will be signed.

The monitoring system is being developed by a non-profit organisation (Goal3), which is part of the consortium. It will be established if an embargo period for sharing data is necessary and if the monitoring system, software and algorithm will be subjected to IP rights.

Informed consent will include the choice to consent to sharing data beyond the project with restricted access, for secondary purposes, and only when certain conditions are met. We do not plan to restrict the use of data depending on the nature of the requester (public or private), or objectives (for-profit or non-profit). Access will be granted according to the conditions established in the consortium agreement and by a data access committee.

Study outputs

Output type Details Date created Date added Peer reviewed? Patient-facing?
Participant information sheet version 1.0 01/02/2022 25/04/2022 No Yes
Protocol file version 1.0 31/12/2021 25/04/2022 No No
Statistical Analysis Plan version 1.0 28/03/2022 25/04/2022 No No
Basic results 09/04/2025 No No

Additional files

41448 PIS v1.0 01Feb2022.pdf
41448 Protocol v1.0 31Dec2021.pdf
41448 SAP v1.0 28Mar2022.pdf
ISRCTN71392921 BasicResults.pdf

Editorial Notes

09/04/2025: The following changes were made to the trial record:
1. The intention to publish date was changed from 01/12/2023 to 01/06/2025.
2. The basic results have been uploaded as an additional file.
18/08/2023: The following changes have been made:
1. The overall study end date was changed from 01/08/2023 to 31/07/2023 and the plain English summary was updated accordingly.
2. The total final enrolment number was added.
15/07/2022: The ethics approval has been added.
19/05/2022: Internal review.
03/05/2022: The study contact email has been updated.
25/04/2022: Trial's existence confirmed by EDCTP.