All Wales Diabetes Prevention Programme: outcome evaluation

ISRCTN ISRCTN30461369
DOI https://doi.org/10.1186/ISRCTN30461369
Submission date
07/10/2024
Registration date
06/02/2025
Last edited
06/02/2025
Recruitment status
No longer recruiting
Overall study status
Completed
Condition category
Nutritional, Metabolic, Endocrine
Prospectively registered
Protocol
Statistical analysis plan
Results
Individual participant data
Record updated in last year

Plain English Summary

Background and study aims
Research suggests that modest interventions (based on diet and physical activity lifestyle modifications) can reduce progression to type 2 diabetes (T2D) by more than 50% for those identified as pre-diabetic. The Welsh Government have allocated funding to Public Health Wales to roll out an All Wales Diabetes Prevention Programme (AWDPP) throughout primary care clusters (PCCs) in Wales. Phased roll-out of the programme commenced in June 2022, with roll-out limited to 2-3 clusters per Health Board per annum, where each cluster is approximately 50-75k in population, varying in size across rural-urban areas. This study aims to evaluate the efforts of the AWDPP and determine its effect on reducing the risk of T2D amongst those who participate in the intervention.

Who can participate?
Individuals within participating primary care clusters in Wales, who have had an HbA1c level between 42-47 mmol/mol within the last 3 months, will be invited to attend the AWDPP intervention.

What does the study involve?
Participants who attend the AWDPP intervention between June 2022 to June 2023 will be included in the study, as part of the 'treatment group'. 'Comparison group' participants will be drawn from existing data held within those practices that have delivered the intervention in Wales. All participants must have had a baseline HbA1c 42-47 mmol/mol, with HbA1c undertaken at follow-up (around 12 months). A change in HbA1c, from baseline and follow-up, will be the primary focus. This change will be compared across the two study groups (treatment & comparison). The comparison group will not have received the AWDPP intervention, as the AWDPP would not have been 'live' during the period in which they presented with a baseline HbA1c of 42-47 mmol/mol.

What are the possible benefits and risks of participating?
There are many benefits for participants of the AWDPP intervention. They will obtain knowledge towards the risks of T2D and what changes they can make to prevent themselves developing the chronic condition. Individuals may also be referred to other services, as to aid their journey in reducing their risk of ill health. There are no obvious risks associated with participating in the study.

Where is the study run from?
This study is run by Public Health Wales' Research & Evaluation Team, with statistical advice provided by Swansea University's Diabetes Research Group.

When is the study starting and how long is it expected to run for?
The first intervention delivered by the AWDPP took place in June 2022. This study focuses on the outcomes related to participation in the AWDPP intervention from June 2022 to June 2023. Data will be collected from April 2022 to September 2024.

Who is funding the study?
Funding for this study has been provided by the AWDPP, at the request from the Welsh Government that evaluation is embedded in the design and delivery of the programme.

Who is the main contact?
james.bailey@wales.nhs.uk or charlotte.grey2@wales.nhs.uk

Contact information

Mr James Bailey
Public, Scientific, Principal Investigator

2 Capital Quarter, Tyndall Street
Cardiff
CF10 4BZ
United Kingdom

ORCiD logoORCID ID 0009-0003-7407-1397
Phone +44 029 2022 7744
Email james.bailey@wales.nhs.uk

Study information

Study designNon-randomised stepped wedge study
Primary study designInterventional
Secondary study designNon randomised study
Study setting(s)GP practice, Medical and other records
Study typePrevention
Participant information sheet No participant information sheet available
Scientific titleEvaluating the outcome of the All Wales Diabetes Prevention Programme (AWDPP): a stepped wedge approach
Study acronymAWDPP
Study hypothesis1. Statistically significant difference in HbA1c from baseline to follow-up, associated with intervention
2. Lower incidence of Type 2 Diabetes at follow-up, when compared to usual care
Ethics approval(s)Ethics approval not required
Ethics approval additional informationThis is a service evaluation study, which does not require ethics approval under Wale’s law.
ConditionPrevention of incidence of type 2 diabetes amongst those identified as 'pre-diabetic'.
InterventionThe All Wales Diabetes Prevention Programme (AWDPP) intervention was delivered by healthcare professionals throughout Wales between June 2022 and June 2023.

The design is non-randomisation. The design has been pragmatically designed around the live implementation of the AWDPP throughout Wales within the last 2 years. Study arms - comparison group is derived from existing primary care health records data before a primary care practice began delivering the AWDPP. No treatment is given to this group, as the intention is to understand the counterfactual (i.e., what is the normal progression in HbA1c, for somebody who is prediabetic, before the inception of AWDPP). Treatment group - they are offered a brief 30-minute consultation with a Health Care Support worker, to discuss their relative risk of developing type 2 diabetes, and what behaviours they may adopt to reduce this risk. As part of NICE guidance, and common practice within primary care, individuals deemed pre-diabetic will routinely be recalled for a repeat HbA1c blood test, 12 months post the last - this routinely collected blood test is the follow-up measure used in both arms of the study.
Intervention typeBehavioural
Primary outcome measureHemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) measured using a blood test at baseline and follow-up (around 12 months)
Secondary outcome measuresIncidence of type 2 diabetes measured using HbA1c results at baseline and follow-up (around 12 months)
Overall study start date01/03/2022
Overall study end date01/09/2024

Eligibility

Participant type(s)Patient
Age groupMixed
Lower age limit18 Years
Upper age limit120 Years
SexBoth
Target number of participants600 paired HbA1c (baseline & follow-up) - 300 intervention, 300 comparison.
Participant inclusion criteria1. HbA1c 42-47 mmol/mol within the last 3 months (from a search undertaken in primary care health records by HCSW)
2. Aged 18 years and over
Participant exclusion criteria1. Ever diagnosed with type 1 or 2 diabetes
2. BMI < 20 kg/m2
3. Current prescription of Metformin
4. Receiving palliative care
5. Pregnant
6. Artificially fed
Recruitment start date29/06/2022
Recruitment end date30/06/2023

Locations

Countries of recruitment

  • United Kingdom
  • Wales

Study participating centre

All Wales
All Wales
All Wales
All Wales
United Kingdom

Sponsor information

Public Health Wales
Hospital/treatment centre

2 Capital Quarter, Tyndall Street
Cardiff
CF10 4BZ
Wales
United Kingdom

Phone +44 029 2022 7744
Email PHW.Evaluation@wales.nhs.uk
Website https://phw.nhs.wales/
ROR logo "ROR" https://ror.org/00265c946

Funders

Funder type

Government

Public Health Wales
Government organisation / Local government
Alternative name(s)
Iechyd Cyhoeddus Cymru, Public Health Wales NHS Trust, PHW
Location
United Kingdom

Results and Publications

Intention to publish date01/05/2025
Individual participant data (IPD) Intention to shareNo
IPD sharing plan summaryNot expected to be made available
Publication and dissemination planPlanned publication in a peer-reviewed journal.
IPD sharing planThe datasets generated during and/or analysed during the current study are not expected to be made available due to the data that is contained within has the potential to be identifiable and includes sensitive information such as health records. Data generated within this study are stored within the Secure Anonymised Information Linkage (SAIL) Databank, which is not a publicly available repository.

Editorial Notes

28/11/2024: Aneurin Bevan University Health Board’s Research and Development Department.